A video of Liam Gallagher playing in a 1996 charity football match resurfaced on social media recently. Dressed in Manchester City blue and a bucket hat, in truth he appears to be in a fug of cigarettes and alcohol. But then, out of nowhere, he hits a shot into the top corner. Since last week, though, the Oasis singer has preferred to defend the honour of his club with his studs up.

As the fallout from the biggest scandal in British football history headed into a second week, Gallagher was asked what he made of rival fans wanting City to lose all their trophies after being found guilty of all the serious charges against them. “There all NEUROTIC little GIMPS,” came the reply on social media. It was one of dozens of sweary, punchy, and often amusing responses, all built on a solitary article of faith: that City will somehow find a way to wriggle free.

But Gallagher is hardly standing alone. Over at Bluemoon, the biggest City forum, the tone has been just as defiant – albeit with a sprinkle of gallows humour. “Have we been blamed for the Titanic hitting the iceberg yet?” asked one user. “Manchester City shot JFK,” wrote another. “This isn’t just a fight between the PL & City. It’s a fight for the heart, soul & future of football,” reckoned a third.

Staggeringly, the forum now has over 192,000 posts since the initial charges against City, dating back to 2023. Naturally the Premier League, jealous rivals and the media all come under heavy fire. Yet there remains a curious reluctance among fans to accept wrongdoing – or to criticise the club’s owners.

How might we explain that? I am not sure it is down to pure tribalism, or a determination among City fans to wait for the club’s appeal to play out. It’s more complicated, and more interesting, than that.

Let us try to get into the head of the most vociferous City fan since last Tuesday. For decades they were in United’s shadow, then everything changed. Their city did too, given how much Abu Dhabi United Group pumped into it. You can forgive them, then, for not wanting to believe that it was all built on sand during the legal process.

But now? Now there is no excuse. So what might explain the reluctance to accept what the independent commission report lays out in great detail? According to the Irish academic Colm Kearns, one reason is because the United Arab Emirates has not only brought unprecedented success and forged emotional bonds with City fans “but have also co-opted elements of the club’s fanbase as aggressive defenders of their regime”.

In 2023 Kearns and his colleagues analysed huge numbers of posts from City fans, going back years, and found that some of them would not only “overlook ethical violations by the Group, but decry and – in some cases – attack the Group’s critics.”

In other words the club’s owners had successfully leveraged the tribal loyalty of City fans into being Manchurian Candidates – or, rather, Manchesterism Candidates.

Kearns tells me that some sports journalists had even self-censored because of the impact of online abuse from City fans. “We had people talking about how fans would go online and try to find their troll through their personal social feeds, and it sent that on to their editor to get them in trouble,” he says.

There is another massive factor here: social media, and the way we now consume sport and communicate with other fans. Thirty years ago, most City fans would live near Manchester and see fans from other clubs at work and in the pub. Nowadays, they can dwell in an online space made up entirely of people who support their own club.

Social media has created tribal online spaces for sports fans. Photograph: Lee Smith/Action Images/Reuters

“I think it makes fans perhaps more tribally myopic than they would have been before and less likely to look outside of their own club’s perspective,” says Kearns.

Academics also talk of “sports fandom circles”, in which supporters across the globe increasingly mobilise and fiercely defend athletes or their teams. That phenomenon, which came out of east Asia with popular culture and music, leads supporters to be laser-focused on their own tribe. But it hardly encourages lighthearted banter, common ground, or compromise.

In City’s case, Kearns suspects that some fans are putting the club above the wider game, citing a Reddit post that said: “I am a City fan first and a football fan second.” Although, as he concedes, it is impossible to know how many online posters do not live in Manchester, or go to games, and therefore feel the need to prove their bona fide credentials by sticking up for the club at all costs.

Either way, where we could go next is interesting. If you were a far-right tech billionaire, why wouldn’t you want to buy a successful sports team – especially if you knew there was an army of potential defenders of your reputation among your new fanbase?

Over the weekend I went through the fan forums of other clubs to see what their supporters made of the guilty verdict against City. The overwhelming majority welcomed it, of course, even if some questioned whether City would really get properly punished for their crimes, given the relationship with Abu Dhabi and the British government.

“Once you lose faith that the rules apply equally, football becomes something else,” one wrote. “Every title, every match, carries a question mark. I feel cheated. I’m one of the victims. And for that, I hate Manchester City.”

Some will agree with that sentiment. Others will raise their eyebrows. I do wonder, though, would that poster feel the same way if the boot was on the other foot, and their club was in the line of fire?