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Key Facts
- What is happening El Salvador’s goods trade deficit narrowed to US$1.13 billion in September 2026 from US$1.15 billion in August.
- Versus forecast Analysts expected a deficit of US$1.2 billion, so the gap was about US$67 million smaller than forecast.
- Why it matters El Salvador uses the US dollar, so it cannot weaken a currency to fix a trade gap.
- What to watch Whether the gap keeps shrinking in October, and what the breakdown of exports and imports shows.
- Power Index
El Salvador bought less abroad than analysts feared in September, and its trade gap edged down.
September Gap Beats Forecast
El Salvador’s trade deficit narrowed to US$1.13 billion in September 2026, according to figures released on Monday, 26 October. That is better than the US$1.2 billion analysts had expected and a little below August’s US$1.15 billion.
The balance of trade is the value of goods a country sells abroad minus the value it buys. A negative number means imports were larger than exports.

Why the Dollar Makes It Matter
El Salvador has used the US dollar as its official currency since 2001. That means it cannot let its own currency fall to make exports cheaper and imports dearer when the gap grows.
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A smaller deficit therefore eases the need to find dollars abroad. For investors, it is one sign that external pressure on the economy did not worsen in September.
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What Is Not Known Yet
The Central Reserve Bank of El Salvador (BCR) reports September goods exports of US$563.7 million, and exports for January to September of US$5.09 billion, up 3.7%. Imports for the same nine months reached US$14.49 billion, up 10.0%, which leaves a nine-month gap of about US$9.39 billion by simple subtraction.
One month also does not make a trend, and the monthly gap of US$1.13 billion is still large. We have not confirmed the product breakdown of September imports, and remittances from Salvadorans abroad, which help cover the gap, are reported separately.
Sources: Central Reserve Bank of El Salvador (BCR) foreign-trade data for January to September 2026, with the monthly deficit, forecast and earlier values from the RT economic calendar, release of 26 October 2026. This is news, not investment advice. More on the country: El Salvador, El Salvador’s export outlook and exports and remittances.
Frequently Asked Questions
How big was El Salvador’s trade deficit in September 2026?
The goods trade deficit was US$1.13 billion, down from US$1.15 billion in August. Analysts had expected US$1.2 billion.
What is a balance of trade?
It is the value of a country’s exports minus its imports of goods over a period. A negative number means the country imported more than it exported.
Why does the trade gap matter in a dollarised economy?
El Salvador uses the US dollar, so it has no currency of its own to adjust. A large gap must be financed with dollars from abroad.
Does one month show a trend?
No. September is a single reading, and the data released do not explain whether exports rose or imports fell.


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