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Canadian home sales fell 2.3 per cent month over month in September as higher mortgage rates weighed on buyers, according to figures released Friday by the Canadian Real Estate Association.
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The seasonally adjusted decline from August came as transactions dropped 7.7 per cent compared with September 2025.
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“After a four-month run of modestly positive progress on demand, supply and prices, many of Canada’s housing markets took a step back in September,” CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart said.
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“This was hardly surprising given the latest jump in fixed mortgage rates, and with the Bank of Canada now widely expected to follow with a rate hike before the end of the year.”
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The national benchmark home price fell to $652,800 in September, down 0.4 per cent from August and 3.5 per cent from a year earlier.
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New listings declined 1.8 per cent month over month, while the sales-to-new-listings ratio edged down to 48.8 per cent from 49.1 per cent in August, remaining within the range CREA considers balanced between buyers and sellers.
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CREA also downgraded its sales forecast, projecting 444,530 transactions in 2026, a 5.2 per cent decline from last year, followed by 4.4 per cent rebound in 2027.
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“With housing affordability already stretched, the big question going forward is how much farther will the bank have to go to keep a lid on inflation next year?” Cathcart said. “Until that becomes clearer, this fresh round of uncertainty will likely send some buyers back to the sidelines.”
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