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Belgium’s defence minister warns of ‘dark winter for Europe’ with more ‘hybrid warfare’ from Russia - Europe live

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'It will be a dark winter for Europe,' Belgium's defence minister warns

Belgian defence minister Theo Francken said “there will be more hybrid threat actions” in the coming months, as he starkly warned “it will be a dark winter for Europe.”

Speaking at Euronews’s Defence and Space Summit, Francken said hybrid warfare “is not something that Russia [has been] doing for two or three years,” but for much longer and it has “expertise” in this area, often making it difficult for western countries to investigate them and attribute responsibility.

Theo Francken
Theo Francken Photograph: Olivier Matthys/EPA

He particularly worried about Russia’s increased use of jet-powered drones.

“We need to scale up ⁠our air defences and ​we ​need to ​have more stocks, ​scale ‌up production. ​Everything ​has to go faster,” he said.

He said Belgium used to be “the worse pupil in class” two years ago with low defence spending, but it has since improved and ramped it up its planning.

He said Europe got too used to its comfortable welfare state protections at the cost of adequate spending on defence, and this is now changing.

“Europe has been very good in investing in soft power, in social security. And it’s beautiful to have a pension system, to have social welfare systems [for] when somebody gets sick, when somebody lost his job – we have everything. But when there’s war or there’s hybrid threats, we don’t have anything. So yeah, we’re in a really difficult position.”

Key events

Five dead, 14 injured after overnight Russian strikes on Ukraine

Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Ukraine faced “a difficult attack” from Russia overnight with “nearly 190 attack drones, as well as ballistic missiles.”

A police officer and residents stand in front of a private building which was heavily damaged during a Russian missile strike in the town of Vyshhorod, Ukraine.
A police officer and residents stand in front of a private building which was heavily damaged during a Russian missile strike in the town of Vyshhorod, Ukraine. Photograph: Valentyn Ogirenko/Reuters

“The main target was energy infrastructure in the capital and the Kyiv region. Residential buildings were also damaged. Work is ongoing to restore electricity and water supplies everywhere they are currently unavailable.”

He added:

“In the morning, a drone struck a grocery supermarket in Ivankovychi. First responders are extinguishing the fire. Kyiv is also under drone attack. A warehouse building was hit, and one person was killed. There were strikes on critical infrastructure in the Zhytomyr, Mykolaiv, Kirovohrad, and Rivne regions. There was also damage in the Odesa, Sumy, Kharkiv, Kherson, and Cherkasy regions.

As of now, fourteen people have been injured across the country as a result of all these strikes. Tragically, five people have been killed, including a child.”

Russia issues rare warning to Nato over Kaliningrad

Russia has warned Nato it would be ready to resort to nuclear weapons if the alliance attempted to cut off Kaliningrad, ⁠a Russian exclave that borders ⁠the Baltic Sea, Reuters reported.

In ​a document sent to Nato, seen by Reuters, and first reported by Lithuanian media, Moscow accused the alliance of a “dangerous and reckless course” that entailed “high risks of the outbreak of a ⁠direct armed conflict”.

The document said this included the possibility “of Russian strikes against decision-making centres in the alliance’s member states right from the outset of the conflict”.

“Russia will be ready to use ⁠the entire arsenal of forces and capabilities at its disposal, including nuclear weapons, in order to defend its territory should ​Nato countries undertake any attempt aimed at isolating the ‌Kaliningrad Region from the rest of ‌the country,” said the text, classed as a “non-paper” — diplomatic jargon for an informal document.

Nato spokesperson Allison Hart confirmed Russia had sent a non-paper to the alliance but did not disclose its contents.

“We have sent a response, noting that Nato is a defensive Alliance and ⁠none of our activities or exercises pose a risk to any part of Russia. We ​strongly denounce the threat of ​force, including any irresponsible nuclear rhetoric. We ​call on Russia to end its unprovoked war in Ukraine,” she said.

Lithuania dismissed the Russian warning “completely baseless and seen as a measure of psychological pressure,” Deividas Matulionis, national security aide to president Gitanas Nausėda, told local media, as reported by LRT.

Brexit 'the biggest lie of the last 30 years,' Macron says

Meanwhile, with Brexit and the question of Britain’s relationship with the EU back in the spotlight in the UK, it’s worth picking up some fresh comments from France’s Emmanuel Macron, who is now on a state visit in Spain.

French president Emmanuel Macron pictured during a meeting with students in Madrid, Spain.
French president Emmanuel Macron pictured during a meeting with students in Madrid, Spain. Photograph: Blondet Eliot/ABACA/Shutterstock

Speaking with students at the Universidad Complutense de Madrid last night, Macron took aim at Brexit calling it “the biggest lie of the last 30 years.”

In a long defence of Europe’s unique integration process – where, according to Macron, even nationalist leaders have come to appreciate the bloc’s role – he described Brexit as a “disastrous exception” to the rule.

He said:

“Brexit is the biggest lie of the last 30 years.

Those who said, ‘We’ll be richer,’ eight points of GDP less 10 years on. We’ll solve the immigration problem; it’s more complicated than before. And we’re going to be a huge success in international trade, it’s even worse.”

We will hear from him again later today, as he is expected to take part in a press conference with Spain’s Pedro Sánchez early afternoon.

Russia moves towards mass attacks on energy infrastructure, Ukraine's PM says

Russia has ⁠moved to mass ⁠attacks ⁠on Ukraine’s energy ​infrastructure, Ukrainian prime ⁠minister Sergii Koretskyi said, after ​overnight ‌strikes ‌on energy facilities in ‌the capital and other regions, Reuters reported.

“This was the first ‌time such a massive ​and combined attack had taken place ⁠since the end ​of the ​last ​heating season,” Koretskyi ​said ‌on ​Telegram.

'It will be a dark winter for Europe,' Belgium's defence minister warns

Belgian defence minister Theo Francken said “there will be more hybrid threat actions” in the coming months, as he starkly warned “it will be a dark winter for Europe.”

Speaking at Euronews’s Defence and Space Summit, Francken said hybrid warfare “is not something that Russia [has been] doing for two or three years,” but for much longer and it has “expertise” in this area, often making it difficult for western countries to investigate them and attribute responsibility.

Theo Francken
Theo Francken Photograph: Olivier Matthys/EPA

He particularly worried about Russia’s increased use of jet-powered drones.

“We need to scale up ⁠our air defences and ​we ​need to ​have more stocks, ​scale ‌up production. ​Everything ​has to go faster,” he said.

He said Belgium used to be “the worse pupil in class” two years ago with low defence spending, but it has since improved and ramped it up its planning.

He said Europe got too used to its comfortable welfare state protections at the cost of adequate spending on defence, and this is now changing.

“Europe has been very good in investing in soft power, in social security. And it’s beautiful to have a pension system, to have social welfare systems [for] when somebody gets sick, when somebody lost his job – we have everything. But when there’s war or there’s hybrid threats, we don’t have anything. So yeah, we’re in a really difficult position.”

Overnight Russian attacks on Ukraine - in pictures

Smoke rises in the city during a Russian drone and missile strike in Kyiv, Ukraine.
Smoke rises in the city during a Russian drone and missile strike in Kyiv, Ukraine. Photograph: Gleb Garanich/Reuters
Residents stand in front of a private building which was heavily damaged during a Russian missile strike in the town of Vyshhorod, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine.
Residents stand in front of a private building which was heavily damaged during a Russian missile strike in the town of Vyshhorod, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine. Photograph: Valentyn Ogirenko/Reuters
A firefighter works at the site of private car garages hit by a Russian missile strike in the town of Vyshhorod.
A firefighter works at the site of private car garages hit by a Russian missile strike in the town of Vyshhorod. Photograph: Valentyn Ogirenko/Reuters

Morning opening: Russia targets communications, energy facilities in Ukraine

Jakub Krupa

Jakub Krupa

Debris ⁠had been found ⁠at ⁠the premises ​of one of ⁠the western embassies ⁠in ​the ‌centre ‌of Ukraine’s capital, ‌Kyiv mayor Vitali Klitschko said this morning, citing preliminary ‌information.

Klitschko did not ​name the embassy, ⁠but said ​emergency services were ​heading ​to the ​site.

It comes after another night of Russian drone attacks on Ukraine, which damaged energy facilities and other civilian infrastructure.

Russia said it targeted a communications centre and energy facilities in Kyiv, and port infrastructure in Izmail, among others.

A member of local authority walks at the site of a private building which was heavily damaged during a Russian missile strike in the town of Vyshhorod.
A member of local authority walks at the site of a private building which was heavily damaged during a Russian missile strike in the town of Vyshhorod. Photograph: Valentyn Ogirenko/Reuters

Neighbouring Poland issued a high readiness emergency alert to residents of south-eastern part of the country this morning, as it scrambled military aircraft to monitor the situation.

I will keep an eye on this for you.

In other news, Romanian parliament will vote on a third nominee for prime minister, with EU lawmaker Siegfried Mureșan expected to struggle to secure the required majority.

And France’s Emmanuel Macron continues his visit to Spain amid ongoing housing protests in the country. He is due to appear at a press conference with Spanish prime minister, Pedro Sánchez later today.

I will bring you all the latest here.

It’s Wednesday, 30 September 2026, it’s Jakub Krupa here, and this is Europe Live.

Good morning.

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